Recognized with the 9th Frontiers of Knowledge Award in Climate Change, Japanese meteorologist and climatologist Syukuro Manabe explains how his mathematical climate models make it possible to simulate and understand temperature and precipitation changes caused by the increase in greenhouse gases. He points out that although it is difficult to define an exact danger threshold, the lower the global warming, the better, and supports goals such as those of the Paris Agreement to limit the temperature rise to below 2 °C, emphasizing that we must do everything possible to minimize climate change.
The BBVA Foundation Frontiers of Knowledge Award in the Climate Change category goes, in this ninth edition, to Syukuro Manabe and James E. Hansen, for their foundational contributions to the development of mathematical models of the climate system, and their pioneering use of these models to
Recognized with the 9th Frontiers of Knowledge Award in Climate Change, Japanese meteorologist and climatologist Syukuro Manabe explains how his mathematical climate models make it possible to simulate and understand temperature and precipitation changes caused by the increase in greenhouse gases. He points out that although it is difficult to define an exact danger threshold, the lower the global warming, the better, and supports goals such as those of the Paris Agreement to limit the temperature rise to below 2 °C, emphasizing that we must do everything possible to minimize climate change.
The BBVA Foundation Frontiers of Knowledge Award in the Climate Change category goes, in this ninth edition, to Syukuro Manabe and James E. Hansen, for their foundational contributions to the development of mathematical models of the climate system, and their pioneering use of these models to project the response of Earth’s climate to changing concentrations of atmospheric CO2 and other perturbations.
00:00 Introduction
00:06 Could you explain in simple terms, for a general audience, how the mathematical models you pioneered have helped us understand the phenomenon of climate change and its potential impacts?
01:41 How reliable are the predictions made by current climate models in forecasting the impacts of global warming?
02:27 Based on the predictions of current climate models, do you think we still have time to avoid the potentially dangerous impacts of climate change, and what measures do you believe should be taken to stop global warming?
